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Topic: July 12 - Severe weather potential
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Adam

7/12/2014 11:47:29 AM
Member since:
Mar 2005
Total posts:15270
July 12 - Severe weather potential

As foreshadowed in the forecast yesterday, conditions are aligning to create the potential for severe storms in the area this afternoon.  
 
The watch that's currently in place from Environment Canada is below and includes more details. Just the usual reminder that its a watch and not a warning, which means that conditions are right for this type of weather... not that something is imminent to specifically effect Brandon or any exact city or town at this time, but it does sound like its quite possible. I've included the watches and warnings link below, which they of course regularly update if they have reason to upgrade to warnings to change the state of any watch. Please feel free to use this thread to report any conditions you've observed in your part of the province should anything develop.  
 
---------------  
 
10:15 AM CDT Saturday 12 July 2014  
Severe thunderstorm watch in effect for:  
 
City of Brandon  
R.M. of Cornwallis west of Shilo including Chater  
R.M. of Elton including Forrest  
R.M. of North Cypress including Carberry and Melbourne  
R.M. of North Norfolk including MacGregor Sydney and Austin  
R.M. of Oakland including Wawanesa and Carroll  
R.M. of South Cypress including Glenboro and Treesbank  
R.M. of South Norfolk including Treherne and Notre Dame  
R.M. of Victoria including Holland and Cypress River  
Severe thunderstorm conditions possible - early afternoon to early evening.  
 
Conditions are favourable for the development of dangerous thunderstorms that may be capable of producing damaging wind gusts and large hail.  
 
A sunny and warm summer day in southern Manitoba will be interrupted this afternoon by a fast moving cold front coming in from the northern Pariries. This cold front will bring gusty northwest winds of 60 or 70 km/h. More importantly, this cold front will push a line of potentially severe thunderstorms through southern Manitoba this afternoon. These thunderstorms may bring local wind gusts of 100 km/h, large hail, and brief but intense rainfall.  
 
The cold front and line of thunderstorms will pass south of the  
province by evening.  
 
Very strong wind gusts can damage buildings, down trees and blow large vehicles off the road. Remember, severe thunderstorms can produce tornadoes. Be prepared for severe weather. Take cover immediately, if threatening weather approaches. In Canada, lightning kills up to 10 people every year. Remember, when thunder roars, go indoors.  
 
Environment Canada meteorologists will update alerts as required. Please continue to monitor your local media or Weatheradio for further updates. If you would like to report severe weather, you can call 1-800-239-0484 or send an email to storm@ec.gc.ca or tweet reports to #MBStorm.  
 
 
 
http://weather.gc.ca/warnings/report_e.html?mb7  
 
----------------  
 
 
To monitor anything that might be developing or heading into the area, Environment Canada radar:  
http://weather.gc.ca/radar/index_e.html?id=XFW  
 

Edited by Adam, 2014-07-12 11:56:41

 
 
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braid

7/12/2014 11:52:39 AM
Member since:
Apr 2010
Total posts:5359
********

Heavy sigh...I got nothin...Adam doesn't allow swearing

hobbes

7/12/2014 11:55:07 AM
Member since:
Jan 2009
Total posts:1602
..

I didn't post it ;) It's gonna pour.

Valadhiel

7/12/2014 11:58:40 AM
Member since:
May 2011
Total posts:44
Mother nature must have PMS......

  
braid said "Heavy sigh...I got nothin...Adam doesn't allow swearing "

You could always try learning cusswords in Latin or some other unused language nobody would understand but would probably know what you're saying LOL

braid

7/12/2014 12:03:16 PM
Member since:
Apr 2010
Total posts:5359
good

  
Valadhiel said "
  
braid said "Heavy sigh...I got nothin...Adam doesn't allow swearing "

You could always try learning cusswords in Latin or some other unused language nobody would understand but would probably know what you're saying LOL "

Good plan...  
hutferduma !  
Lol...I have flemish friends.

CommonTater

7/12/2014 12:03:45 PM
Member since:
Jan 2014
Total posts:784
Where

Where did I put my white flag?

rogercsr2007

7/12/2014 12:07:33 PM
Member since:
Feb 2013
Total posts:179
.

Dauphin getting a wicked storm right now!

Mandy6

7/12/2014 12:16:18 PM
Member since:
Jul 2012
Total posts:932
Well

if all H breaks loose this afternoon, it would mirror what happened last year around this time. It was the end of June, grad night precisely, when Reston got dumped on . It was 2 weeks after that that Pipestone, Hartney and areas got hit.  
 
Is it bad to say we've been expecting it? We've been waiting from 2 weeks ago when it mirrored last year. I don't like it AT ALL. Barns got flattened and bins got twisted into metal scrap on either side of us last year. We were just VERY lucky.  
 
If we do get this again, I cringe at next year. This is way too much to handle for it to be a spot on trend every year.

Adam

7/12/2014 12:32:01 PM
Member since:
Mar 2005
Total posts:15270
Storm

Doing exactly what they said and forming a line to the North. No warnings on it for anyone quite yet.

Getty

7/12/2014 1:07:03 PM
Member since:
Aug 2008
Total posts:1536
..

well the way it looks right now, it looks like it will miss us

Adam

7/12/2014 1:18:15 PM
Member since:
Mar 2005
Total posts:15270
Warnings

This is not for Brandon, we're still under a watch... But a warning in place for many points Northwest:  
http://weather.gc.ca/warnings/report_e.html?mb17  
 
Main threats for them are said to potentially be "very strong wind gusts, dime to nickel size hail and heavy rain."  
Good news if you want to call it that is that it's moving fast at 70 km/hr... So would blow over faster than an average storm. Brandon said to still be very much under a watch. 

hobbes

7/12/2014 1:19:17 PM
Member since:
Jan 2009
Total posts:1602
...

Reading winds of 100 km/h.

Mandy6

7/12/2014 1:44:57 PM
Member since:
Jul 2012
Total posts:932
*

The weather network's calling for 100km winds. We're not on the watch on the link Adam provided, but we are on the weather network's alerts. Putting the vehicles under cover again, "sigh," and bracing the corral wall with the tractor. And we wait........

hobbes

7/12/2014 1:58:39 PM
Member since:
Jan 2009
Total posts:1602
.

Hail is definitely in the cells heading our way. Best be hiding the car, cat and kids! http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?ID=MBX

cotr

7/12/2014 2:04:30 PM
Member since:
Apr 2009
Total posts:438
Clear Lake

I am at Clear Lake and the storm has passed through here,with only rain and not much of that maybe a 1/4 inch. Lots of thunder but not much else. Wind has really died down after the storm went through

Adam

7/12/2014 2:18:06 PM
Member since:
Mar 2005
Total posts:15270
Warning

Now a warning for RM of Elton including Forrest:  
http://weather.gc.ca/warnings/report_e.html?mb7

Valadhiel

7/12/2014 2:37:02 PM
Member since:
May 2011
Total posts:44
Noticed the sky........

Around us is clouding over. The map on the weather network figures it will hit us head on in around half an hour. Maybe they're wrong?  
 
I'm in Kirkcaldy...... the sky to the NW is turning a nice shade of dark grey.....  
 
Edited by , 2014-07-12 14:39:10

Getty

7/12/2014 2:41:56 PM
Member since:
Aug 2008
Total posts:1536
lol

  
Getty said "well the way it looks right now, it looks like it will miss us "

okay I take that back. We're gonna get hit!! garbage cans in garage time!

Valadhiel

7/12/2014 2:46:22 PM
Member since:
May 2011
Total posts:44
LOL!!

  
Getty said "
  
Getty said "well the way it looks right now, it looks like it will miss us "

okay I take that back. We're gonna get hit!! garbage cans in garage time! "

I have to laugh! There's not much else left to laugh at  
 
I myself love thunderstorms and recall noticing in the last years that whatever was forecasted always seemed to miss Brandon. I was hoping they'd hit but they never did....I'm enjoying this even with the flood!  
 
I just heard thunder......  
 
Edited by , 2014-07-12 14:47:57

loeog

7/12/2014 2:49:09 PM
Member since:
Mar 2009
Total posts:876
Just north of bdn

Winds gone.  
Almost no rain fell.  
Storm lasted 10 minutes.  
No 100 k winds.  
No hail.  
Sun is almost out.  
 
Edited by LoggS, 2014-07-12 14:52:24

Adam

7/12/2014 2:50:56 PM
Member since:
Mar 2005
Total posts:15270
Brandon

braid

7/12/2014 2:51:45 PM
Member since:
Apr 2010
Total posts:5359
here

Here it comes ! !

Valadhiel

7/12/2014 2:53:13 PM
Member since:
May 2011
Total posts:44
Rain!!

Pitter pattering outside and the dog is clinging to my leg (she hates thunder).  
 
That's what happens whenever I water my garden......

hobbes

7/12/2014 2:55:39 PM
Member since:
Jan 2009
Total posts:1602
...

It's here!

Valadhiel

7/12/2014 2:58:22 PM
Member since:
May 2011
Total posts:44
Good!

My car was getting dusty anyway.......  
 
Raining pretty good here, lots of thunder, but by the sky won't last too long.  
 
I love the smell of fresh rain.  
 
And that crack of thunder made the dog hit the roof and 3 planes flying overhead. Wow!!

katwalk1909

7/12/2014 2:58:39 PM
Member since:
Aug 2008
Total posts:7094
White Peas

There are white peas all over my deck in Kirkcaldy.

Robert D. Brown

7/12/2014 2:59:30 PM
Member since:
Jan 2009
Total posts:230
had

A little bit if small hail and a good down pour up here in Glendale, seems to be slowing down now.

braid

7/12/2014 2:59:30 PM
Member since:
Apr 2010
Total posts:5359
ahhh

  
Valadhiel said "Pitter pattering outside and the dog is clinging to my leg (she hates thunder).  
 
That's what happens whenever I water my garden...... "

So it's your fault? lol  
West end...Pea size hail tinkling away....it's fugly out there.

Valadhiel

7/12/2014 2:59:49 PM
Member since:
May 2011
Total posts:44
Weird!

  
katwalk1909 said "There are white peas all over my deck in Kirkcaldy. "

I'm not even a block from you and we have no hail at all!

Valadhiel

7/12/2014 3:01:14 PM
Member since:
May 2011
Total posts:44
I'll take it!

  
braid said "
  
Valadhiel said "Pitter pattering outside and the dog is clinging to my leg (she hates thunder).  
 
That's what happens whenever I water my garden...... "

So it's your fault? lol  
West end...Pea size hail tinkling away....it's fugly out there. "

Either I don't water my garden and it doesn't rain and my potatos wilt, or I water it and watch it rain.....  
 
It's a no win situation.....  
 
Sorry you're getting hail. I'm not!

 
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