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From Friday's provincial data update, Prairie Mountain's Covid case count has increased by 17 from yesterday including a +6 for Brandon. The 17 for PMH compares to a +14 over the previous nine days combined. Manitoba as a province had an increase of 105 cases in the data today, with the test positivity rate reaching 3% once again. Though one day does not a trend make, when taken in the context of what's taking place in the Province that's just an hour's drive to the West (setting single day new case records) and in the context of public health officials saying that we can expect a rise in cases one could surmise that we are likely seeing the beginning of the fourth wave. Of the 105 new cases in the province today, 77 have been denoted as being in those who are not vaccinated and 9 more in those who have only gone as far as getting one shot. Since the September 1 update nine days ago, Brandon has had an increase in vaccine uptake rate of just 1.3% to 82.5%. Over that same time the provincial vaccine uptake rate has increased by just 1.1% to 83.3% and the rate of those who are fully vaccinated in Manitoba is up just 1.3% to 76.5%. Clearly in the data and the jump-off-the page proportion of new cases in the unvaccinated those numbers are not yet enough just as similar numbers in Saskatchewan and Alberta haven't been enough as they see significant increases in fourth wave cases, hospitalizations and those requiring intensive care. Data on cases in PMH and Manitoba can be seen at: https://www.arcgis.com/apps/dashboards/29e86894292e449aa75763b077281b5b#rha=Prairie%20Mountain%20Health As we decide how protected we want to be as a community, its important to be armed with facts from real and verifiable sources. Needless to say there is a large mix of information out there on the topic of vaccines, some of which is spread with supreme confidence despite being categorically false. Other disinfo takes advantage of reasoning hacks by building significant and often potentially harmful falsehoods around small kernels of truth. The province has an ongoing Frequently Asked Questions list at the link below, which shares facts on vaccines that one can use for self-learning or for sharing with those who may be unaware of the facts as they lie. You can see that info at: https://protectmb.ca/qa/ More broadly the province maintains a page with vaccine information and data at: https://www.gov.mb.ca/covid19/vaccine/index.html A reminder that when it comes to this site, there's a zero tolerance policy for the spread of disinformation on this very serious public health topic. If sharing information as if its fact, please cite source with link where at all possible. On other mediums where disinformation is spreading more freely, please consider reporting such disinformation to the site's administration as well as demanding similar factually verifiable sources and making it clear when you see info that isn't coming from one.
More info on Covid in Manitoba including public health orders that are in place to limit the spread of the virus is published regularly by the province at:https://manitoba.ca/covid19/index.html
On top of that, reputable media outlets including the Brandon Sun and CBC Manitoba of course continue to publish factual locally-relevant news on the topic of Covid and the ongoing response to it.
Out of 41 new cases today, 32 in those either not vaccinated or only partially vaccinated. The data goes a step further in breaking down not just active cases but hospitalizations and Active ICU patients by vaccine status. 86% of Covid hospitalizations in Manitoba are in not vaccinated/partially vaccinated including all seven ICU patients. Province publishes this data ongoing at: https://manitoba.ca/covid19/updates/cases.html For anyone looking at Manitoba’s unvaccinated vs vaccinated proportion of cases and considering calling small sample size, a look quite possibly to our future. Saskatchewan reported 449 new cases today. That includes more than 10x our new case count today in a province close enough that you could literally walk to from Brandon today if you were determined enough. 89% of those Saskatchewan new cases are in those not fully vaccinated (including the under-12s who don’t yet have a choice): https://www.saskatchewan.ca/government/health-care-administration-and-provider-resources/treatment-procedures-and-guidelines/emerging-public-health-issues/2019-novel-coronavirus/cases-and-risk-of-covid-19-in-saskatchewan This has always been in large part about cases that lead to hospitalization, ICU care, hospital/ICU capacity and what it means for acceleration of serious outcomes when that capacity is pushed to and past the limit. We had a tragic example locally during the last wave when a young lady was having to be transported out of province for care but sadly did not make it. Recently in Alberta an urgent brain surgery had to be cancelled because of ICU pressures. Whether one is personally worried about the virus’ impact on themselves or not, these are the kinds of real world serious impacts that are happening that don't have to. There’s no reason to believe something similar can’t happen soon here too as much as we can cross our fingers that our elevated measures versus Sask and Alberta including masking and use of vaccine passports will have some impact. Vaccines clearly work in keeping case numbers and ICU use massively down in the population that has had them relative to those who haven't. Keeping with the theme of looking into what could reasonably be our future, the link below puts the data from Sask into much better context... "Saskatchewan's fourth wave falls on unvaccinated" https://thestarphoenix.com/news/local-news/covid-19-saskatchewans-fourth-wave-falls-on-unvaccinated Please visit the link below for more details on vaccines in Manitoba to be as informed as possible and to make sure that those around you are too! https://www.gov.mb.ca/covid19/vaccine/index.html
Out of today's 88 new cases in Manitoba, 74% are in those who are not fully vaccinated. Even more significantly, 95% of active hospitalizations in Manitoba are listed as being in those not fully vaccinated including all who are presently in ICU: https://manitoba.ca/covid19/updates/cases.html#vaccine-status Sometimes as someone on the periphery of what's going on in the battle against Covid within the medical system it's easy to lose sight of what it looks like inside a hospital. From Ontario, the video at the link below is as far as I'm concerned a must-watch for any member of the human race in this country to know what it looks like in an active ICU as patients fight for their lives on life support. The facility's medical director provides much commentary on the role of vaccines and the impact of Covid on medical systems over the past year and a half...
We had comments that the story on #Unvaccinated patients with severe #COVID in ICU was "fake" and shot "in a studio" with "mannequins". We are posting additional raw material to counter misinformation https://t.co/kv2w4zV3WR @CTVNews @HamHealthSci— Avis Favaro (@CTV_AvisFavaro) September 17, 2021
We had comments that the story on #Unvaccinated patients with severe #COVID in ICU was "fake" and shot "in a studio" with "mannequins". We are posting additional raw material to counter misinformation https://t.co/kv2w4zV3WR @CTVNews @HamHealthSci
And for a wider look at numbers on hospitalizations vax vs no vax in a larger sample space, the jump-off-the-page numbers from Alberta comparing hospitalizations and ICU admittance by number of people vaccinated and not vaccinated. That much more off the page when you consider the size of the vaccinated population vs unvaccinated: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/alberta-severe-outcomes-covid-vaccination-1.6178449
I don't know how anyone can look at those numbers and even pretend that vaccines aren't a massive difference maker nor make the case that this wave doesnt look very different with a more widely vaccinated population. Much like elsewhere, this is clearly the wave of the unvaccinated when it comes to the critical topic of strain on the medical system
Brandon is still just under 1 in 5 people unvaccinated in people 12 and over in addition to all of the under 12s. Our growth in vax uptake has slowed to a crawl this month. We still have an opportunity to increase that community-wide protection level an limit the impact of this next wave that's just starting to uptick in case counts and that starts with making sure we, friends and family have access to real facts on the vaccine and on benefits and conseq not just at the personal but community level.
When public health works, it’s invisible. pic.twitter.com/hGmSmYZmwc&mdash: scitimewithtracy (@SciTimeTracy) September 17, 2021
When public health works, it’s invisible. pic.twitter.com/hGmSmYZmwc
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