Farmergeorge said "A lot of people seem to think that a retail/service dependant economy is a good thing. I don’t necessarily agree.
A weak Canadian dollar is a good thing. It makes goods produced here more competitive on the world market encouraging export and encouraging domestic consumption of goods and product produced domestically.
A weak canadian dollar also makes imported product more expensive discouraging purchase and consumption of imported goods and discouraging people from holidaying abroad in turn supporting Canadian business and jobs.
Under the current weak Canadian dollar my own agricultural production is worth more and is priced largely at a competitive advantage especially compared against American product. On the downside things that I may buy such as imported equipment are much more expensive which encourages me to seek out and buy Canadian made product where possible therefore supporting the Canadian economy which I think is positive.
I have lived through many years struggling under a strong currency ( and excessive regulation) which is largely the reason that we moved our own business to Canada to become more competitive.
As far as interest rates go it’s a double edged sword, low interest rates in theory encourage consumer borrowing and spending , the trouble is that consumer and national borrowing is now excessive and has been for some years, an inevitable and probably small interest rate rise would make much current debt at unfixed rates unserviceable and that is the risk that we face asa country. Higher interest rates encourage consumer saving and encourages people to consider their spending habits more carefully, as individuals wealth grows the economy should grow with it. It’s about the need to find the elusive happy medium. "
I agree with what you say about interest rates. There's an elusive middle ground that seem unattainable. What we have right now is unsustainable, supposedly, except we've been here for well over a decade. They keep saying the crunch is going to happen, but it never does... yet.
I'm interested in what you say about the service/retail economy. I feel like that too - in anything this pandemic has shown us that much of those types of services are fabricated demand (i.e. we really don't need them in the long run), but also lots is at stake if those associated jobs evaporate. Lots of people work at menial jobs in those industries, so what happens to them? Or will it right itself in the end - there's less need for income generally if there's less discretionary spending on those good and services, ergo there's generally less need for employment generally?
I'm curious to know what you envision the end result could be!