Joined: Mar 2005
Posts: 15663
Wheat Kings' chances of finishing first
3/10/2008 at 10:28 AM
With less than a week to go in the season, it's possible the Wheat Kings could finish anywhere from 2nd in the conference to 8th in the conference. They could have as much as home ice through the first two rounds or could have no home ice for the entire playoffs.
I thought I'd break down what would have to happen for the Wheaties to take first in the East Division (and as a result, 2nd in the Eastern Conference). Still a possibility, but a few things would have to go right.
Here are the remaining games left for the seven teams in the hunt:
Moose Jaw: Regina (H), Swift Current (H), Swift Current (A)
Swift Current: Saskatoon (A), Moose Jaw (A), Moose Jaw (H)
Kootenay: Lethbridge (H), Calgary (H), Calgary (A)
Lethbridge: Kootenay (A), Medicine Hat (H), Medicine Hat (A), Edmonton (H)
Regina: Moose Jaw (A), Brandon (H), Brandon (A)
Brandon: Prince Albert (H), Regina (A), Regina (H)
Medicine Hat: Red Deer (A), Lethbridge (A), Lethbridge (H)
- The first thing that will need to happen is the Wheat Kings beating Prince Albert on Wednesday. Not a longshot by any stretch, but Prince Albert is much improved and will be doing anything but mailing the points in.
- Next, Moose Jaw would have to beat Regina on Wednesday.. preferably in regulation although the overtime loss point wouldn't be a complete back breaker. The game is in Moose Jaw. Statistically speaking, each team is on a bit of a roll.
- The above two Wednesday games going the right way would set the stage for as important of a home-and-home series as you can have between the Wheat Kings and Pats, Friday in Regina and Saturday at Westman Place. If the Wheat Kings were to win both of those games in regulation they would finish ahead of the Pats (assuming everything went right on Wednesday). Depending on what happens in Moose Jaw Wednesday, the Wheat Kings could potentially afford to win one of these two games in overtime/a shootout as in this scenario Brandon would win a tie-breaker (total wins).
Even if the above scenario all plays itself out, there would still be a chance Moose Jaw could win the division. They have two tough games against Swift Current to close out their year. They would need to lose one of them (regulation or overtime) or they would take first. No matter what, if Brandon finishes with Moose Jaw anywhere in the standings they win the tiebreaker for having more wins.
With all of that said, if all three remaining games are won by the Wheat Kings the lowest they will finish is 6th.