Discussions

Don’t look, just don’t....  
https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/mb-52_metric_e.html

Obviously a tough time of the year to call accumulations from this far out, but this one from yesterday got my attention....  
Brandon in an area that could see 15-20cm over the next 7 days. Part of RMNP showing over 30cm/1 foot:  

You've probably heard there's a chance for snow over the next week in many parts of the Prairies. Here's our model's latest snow map showing total accumulations over the next 7 days. #mbstorm #skstorm #abstorm pic.twitter.com/GmhZXpR6bE

— Weatherlogics (@weatherlogics) April 8, 2021

 
 
In truth we might just take it to help with all of the dryness right now, as much as our fruit bushes/trees are already getting ready to pop!

A wintery start to next week is forecast for #Manitoba.

Rain on Sun switching to snow, with temps dropping 5 to 10°C below normal by Mon. Up to 15 cm of snow is expected by Wed morning. #mbstorm

Keep up to date with forecasts here: https://t.co/1ZNnkIDIlA pic.twitter.com/vqiD6SYMPr

&mdash: ECCC Weather Manitoba (@ECCCWeatherMB) April 9, 2021

and now the Special Weather Statement just put out by ECCC. Starting as rain on Sunday, transitioning to snow at night. Continuing to snow Monday and Tuesday. Accumulations look to be 10-20cm with higher in some areas. Mix in 60 km/hr winds on Monday and you have potential for a doozie:
https://weather.gc.ca/warnings/report_e.html?mb7#1727514112077930119202104090501ws1171cwwg

March 11 or April 11, most folks know the drill but FWIW in the ECCC weather database that I’ve downloaded there are a total of 189 days since 1941 later than April 10 and before September that had snow recorded at Brandon. Works out to an average of a little more than twice per year... granted that will also include a good share of days where snow melted on contact and didnt necessarily accumulate. Getting more than 10cm in a day this late in the season would be a lot more rare… its happened only 12 times since 1941 or once every approx 6 1/2 years.  
 
It sounds like the system next week will be spread out over a couple days, but if we do happen to see more than 20cm in a day that’s only happened this late twice… 23.2cm on April 27, 1984 and 20.3cm April 13, 1953.

If for fun we want to talk May, there have been 56 days since 1941 that there's been snow including 9.4cm on May 3, 1991.... but lets all agree not go there :)

Watching forecast today, the estimates for Monday were for a time toned down but not the case any more...  
-5-10cm Monday  
-5-10cm Monday night  
-Snow Tuesday, amount not shared yet.  

Hourly forecast has light snow starting in Brandon by the 1am hour with heavier stuff falling by wakeup  

Snowfall warnings for places further North. No watches or warnings for Brandon or points South in Westman as of now:  https://weather.gc.ca/warnings/index_e.html?prov=mb  

Going by forecast, it'll be on the ground until at least wakeup on Thursday. Double digit high of +10 on Saturday should do its thing!

For anyone that will be checking the weather page webcam to monitor, a second temporary special camera has been added at 18th and Pacific... which also happens to be where demolition of the international harvester building is scheduled to start tomorrow:  

https://ebrandon.ca/weather_camimage.aspx?thecam=2

Barely a dusting on roofs to start the day. Forecast now calling for 5cm in Brandon today, 5-10cm tonight and 2-4cm tomorrow. Put it all together and that’s 12-19cm if taken literally.  
 
Looks by radar to just be crowding in on the city. Not every day you’re watching a system come in from the East!  
https://weather.gc.ca/map_e.html?layers=radar&zoom=6&center=49.85%2C-99.95

A wider look at the size of what’s setting up:  

Nearly stalled out low over Great Lakes running into cooler air to the west. Heavy axis of snow setting up #mbstorm #skstorm pic.twitter.com/NyMgo7yTVd

— Jessie Uppal (@JessieUppalTWN) April 12, 2021

Quite the cover of white on our neighbourhood so far. Roads themselves and driveways seemed to be melting off through the afternoon, but dont imagine that'll continue into tomorrow.

Cross-posting with the demolition thread to show Daly overpass starting to look a little dicey. With the bridge being a risk area during winter storms at the best of times, highly recommend only using the area if necessary. Between being down to one lane each way and deteriorating conditions into tonight, not Brandon's most drivable stretch of road...

From the city, the barracades in the area will be moved at the beginning and end of working hours:

Manitoba Infrastructure is continuing the demolition of the International Harvester building on 18th Street. Pedestrians and cyclists can use the sidewalk outside of demolition hours. Barricades are moved at the beginning and end of working hours.#bdnmb pic.twitter.com/XARWZN2k2T

— City of Brandon (@CityBrandon) April 12, 2021

Round 1 seems to be fading....I’d say around 8cm on the lawn at our place. Could be even more than that thats fallen when melt is factored in. Buildup has started on streets and sidewalks... already looks like a slippery mess.  
 
From radar, Round 2 looks to be just nicely organizing in Ontario for later tonight/tomorrow...

Thanks for the first hand updates. Between ice and snow it doesn’t look pretty out there and with temps staying under zero and more snow on the way I wouldn’t expect a ton of change today. You can find road conditions from the Province at https://www.manitoba511.ca  
 
ECCC reporting 9.8cm at Brandon yesterday. In the weather database I have seven times dating back to 1941 that it’s snowed on April 12 (1979) with the prev highest being 8.8cm.

Unlikely to break the April 13 record of 20.3cm (1953)... forecast calling for 5-10cm today and light snow tonight.  Record for most snow on the ground on this day is 22cm (1979 again), which maybe an outside shot at depending on melt and pack?
 
Attaching grabs from each of the webcams at just a couple minutes before 8 this morning...