After a brief taste of snowfall overnight on Wednesday and then watching images of accumulations come in from other areas in Southern Manitoba throughout Thursday, Brandon whether it likes it or not is set for its own more meaningful blast of Winter on Friday based on a Winter Storm Warning currently in place by Environment Canada.
In the alert it’s said that conditions are to worsen on Friday as a Colorado low bringing heavy precipitation and strong wind to Southern Manitoba intensifies and draws closer. Westman is expected to see snow combined with extreme winds during the day on Friday with its worst conditions on Friday night as the area of extreme snowfall shifts Northward and Westward.
Environment Canada’s current forecast for Brandon calls for 5-10cm of snow during the day on Friday with amounts of 25cm over Eastern sections. Friday night’s forecast then has Brandon seeing 15-25cm followed by a further 5cm on Saturday as the system gradually weakens. Winds on Friday both during the day and at night are expected to be 50 km/hr gusting to 80 km/hr.
At mid-afternoon Thursday, Environment and Climate Change Canada via its Twitter account released risk maps showing areas most at risk on Friday, Saturday and Sunday with Brandon just inside the Northwest boundary of an area expected to see conditions described as Severe on Friday:
What does fall as snow in the coming days is expected to be heavy and wet with a level of concern around sticking to power lines and trees and what impact the weight might have, in particular when combined with winds.
By the time all is said and done the system is forecast to bring in excess of 50cm of snow to some parts of Southern Manitoba.
The city already awoke on Thursday morning to a thin blanket of white as shown in this pic taken at Rideau Park
In anticipation of the system, the Province took the step of issuing a reminder on Wednesday for drivers to be particularly aware of road conditions when driving in one of the first winter-like storms of the season. Road conditions can be monitored at http://www.manitoba511.ca
Wednesday’s 1.8cm of snow equaled a record set for October 9 back in 1959. Barring a major last minute shift in forecast Friday appears almost certain to exceed the highest-ever October 11 total of just 1.0cm (1983). Saturday wouldn’t have to see a lot fall to best October 12’s record of 1.3cm (1959).
It all comes in stark contrast to the 22 degree high temperature of this past Tuesday and the peak of 19 seen on Monday.
The current location and strength of precipitation in the area can be monitored on Environment Canada radar at https://weather.gc.ca/radar/index_e.html?id=xfw
All weather watches and warnings for Manitoba can be monitored at https://weather.gc.ca/warnings/index_e.html?prov=mb
Updated: Oct 10, 10:40am. Added Rideau Park picture showing early accumulations on Thursday morning
Updated: Oct 10, 1:40pm. Updated forecast with reduced expected Thursday accumulations at Brandon.
Updated: Oct 10, 3:25pm. Added Environment Canada risk map
Updated: Oct 11, 6:20am. Reflected most recent warning and forecast